tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4509736829271344872.post1296529759880349048..comments2024-03-02T03:24:43.931-05:00Comments on Advanced Analytic Techniques: Role Playing: A Method to Forecast DecisionsKristan J. Wheatonhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02566135545863154089noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4509736829271344872.post-81812207860414343212014-09-08T14:45:46.773-04:002014-09-08T14:45:46.773-04:00No, the paper did not go into detail about the dif...No, the paper did not go into detail about the different scenarios (I wish it did). Armstrong broke the 80 minutes down- 20 minutes for students to read and get into the role and 60 minutes to play the scenarios out. I do agree with you that the scenarios should have lasted until a conclusion was reached. Joy Segreto https://www.blogger.com/profile/00166677027921691293noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4509736829271344872.post-55942150806686646182014-09-08T00:31:53.649-04:002014-09-08T00:31:53.649-04:00Did the paper describe any of the types of scenari...Did the paper describe any of the types of scenarios played out? Also, why was 80 minutes chosen as the amount it would take to complete a trial? Wouldn't it be beneficial to have these trials play out until they agree they are done rather than it be time dependent?Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15138114584554513375noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4509736829271344872.post-81474032923883494142014-09-07T19:53:35.250-04:002014-09-07T19:53:35.250-04:00Armstrong did not go into detail on how the studen...Armstrong did not go into detail on how the students were picked- hence one of the flaws in this case study. I would have liked to seen the selection process and how he went about choosing for each simulation. Joy Segreto https://www.blogger.com/profile/00166677027921691293noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4509736829271344872.post-2633674514304094672014-09-07T18:55:18.076-04:002014-09-07T18:55:18.076-04:00The study by Kresten Green showed similar results ...The study by Kresten Green showed similar results to Armstrong's findings with Green's participants achieving 64% correct predictions using role-playing as opposed to 28% correct predictions using unaided judgement. In some of Green's experiments, she was able to place students with leadership experience into leadership roles in the simulation and those with quantitative backgrounds into roles that have quantitative skill sets. Did Armstrong attempt to match anyone in a similar way or were all the roles chosen randomly? Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11771375528076623770noreply@blogger.com