tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4509736829271344872.post824565398591554961..comments2024-03-02T03:24:43.931-05:00Comments on Advanced Analytic Techniques: Do Your Homework: How Intelligence Professionals Can Use Role-Playing to Anticipate DecisionsKristan J. Wheatonhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02566135545863154089noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4509736829271344872.post-48883547565792515582018-10-09T09:30:50.322-04:002018-10-09T09:30:50.322-04:00Billy,
Unfortunately using role-play with an a...Billy, <br /> Unfortunately using role-play with an adversary whose behavior patterns are difficult to anticipate will require a strong understanding of their preferences and influences. But since these adversaries are more difficult to understand, role-playing may not be the best approach. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4509736829271344872.post-37007321035169391992018-10-09T09:29:49.743-04:002018-10-09T09:29:49.743-04:00I agree I think it has its limitations. But I'...I agree I think it has its limitations. But I'd argue the same for any methodology that is heavily focused on the adversary. Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11402199214046211213noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4509736829271344872.post-62917202000568965762018-10-09T08:58:08.904-04:002018-10-09T08:58:08.904-04:00A lot of the articles I read through talked about ...A lot of the articles I read through talked about role playing success in the medical field and in the classroom. I think Billy and Chelsie both bring up a good point that the adversary is unknown or if the their motivation is unknown is that effective role play. In most intelligence situation that knowledge is unknown. Do you still think it is an effective method to use in intelligence as far as national security issues? Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16948896274088398371noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4509736829271344872.post-8212328110971950772018-10-08T17:13:08.697-04:002018-10-08T17:13:08.697-04:00Due to the fact that role playing relies so heavil...Due to the fact that role playing relies so heavily on adversarial knowledge at an intimate level, I question whether it is even practical. How do you adjust role playing for an adversary whose behavior patterns are too sporadic to accurate develop?Billyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06487523879076220276noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4509736829271344872.post-58282841236863298982018-10-06T22:17:58.298-04:002018-10-06T22:17:58.298-04:00I agree with you when you say that an accurate und...I agree with you when you say that an accurate understanding of the adversary should be known. I think trainees who are delegated for the task are purposely put in the simulations due to their knowledge on the task in place. If someone is going to the Middle East, it is obviously advantageous if the force speaks the language, understands the culture, and knows the people they are dealing with in order for the operation to be successful. Before presenting, presenters usually know the audience they are presenting to and interests they may have, in order to prepare. Chelsiehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13621168195567847932noreply@blogger.com