Summary:
Colonel A. Bentley Nettles 2010 thesis at the
Naval Postgraduate School in Monterey, California provides a framework for
educating all Department of Homeland Security (DHS) leaders on red team
fundamentals by focusing on implementing decision support red teams as part of
its force structure, implementing joint enterprise red teams between security
agencies and partners, and implementing red team integration into DHS
technology approval processes.
Colonel Nettles describes red teaming as
intentionally creating a virus within an organization to
protect, nurture, and develop an antidote for strategic surprises. Broader
application of red teams creates antibodies within security infrastructure when
supported by leadership. Colonel Nettles argues that red teams do this by applying
creative thinking, challenging organizations assumptions, providing alternative
analysis to organization plans, and providing decision makers with alternative
perspectives on the current operating environment.
Colonel Nettles states that the overall goal of red teaming is to challenge one’s own assumptions in order to better understand the
adversary’s perspectives and to identify one’s own vulnerabilities. Red teaming
is a peer review process of a concept or proposed course of action used to look
for unexpected scenarios or to identify unexpected consequences to a particular
approach. Red teaming enables the United States to examine how enemies view the
United States to better understand how the enemies evaluate strengths and
weaknesses.
The “function” of a red team is the provision of
an independent capability to fully explore alternatives in plans, operations,
concepts, organizations, and capabilities in the context of the operational
environment and from the perspectives of partners, adversaries, and others. The
“outputs” of a red team are alternative perspectives from a trained team, an
anthropological tool kit for cultural considerations of adversaries and
coalition partners, a platform for communication and negotiation for internal
critical analysis without being disruptive, a theoretical analysis of complex
situations, and insight into how adversaries and stakeholders think.
At the strategic level, an effective red team
assists decision making by pinpointing key decision points for the team,
identifying planning shortfalls, highlighting differences between plans and
doctrine, and identifying unintended effects of future courses of action.
Colonel Nettles uses a case study approach to
defend his advocacy of red teams to support DHS mission to prevent terrorism,
manage borders, enforce immigration laws, safeguard cyberspace, and ensure
resilience to disasters. The case study focuses on one aspect of Transportation
Security Administration (TSA) responsibilities, commercial airline security,
which refers to procedures as well as infrastructure designed to avoid security
problems aboard aircraft. The airport checkpoints themselves are just a few
layers of the security approach used by TSA to secure the traveling public and
the aerial transportation system. The case study asks why the layers of security
implemented by TSA failed to stop the terrorist from boarding. Colonel Nettles visualizes 20
layers of security in Figure 2.
Source: http://tinyurl.com/mx9mqbw |
The case study focuses on Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab,
the “Christmas day bomber”, in which Umar successfully boarded a plane from
Amsterdam destined to Detroit on Christmas day in 2009 with an explosive device
hidden on his body, which failed to detonate properly on final descent to
Detroit. Colonel Nettles argues that there was so much information and
intelligence available to the United States indicating Umar’s impending attack
and that the government failed to connect, integrate, and understand the information
it had, signifying systemic failure brought about from human error. Despite TSA’s
20 layers of security efforts, Umar broke through the defense.
Colonel Nettles asserts that utilizing Red Team concepts
to create a decision support system would assess the implied assumptions in the
TSA security system. A decision support Red Team would address how to shift the
approach to aviation security from a defensive one to an offensive one and how
to identify terrorist groups likely to try to smuggle explosives aboard
transportation systems.
The present TSA Red Team program was created in
response to the 1988 bombing of Pan Am Flight 103. The program is assigned to
conduct covert airport security penetration testing for identifying localized
and systemic vulnerabilities. Colonel Nettles argues that the program is
insufficient and focus needs to be shifted to challenge assumptions made in
developing new security initiatives by involving a Red Team in the concept
development of new security approaches and technologies.
Colonel Nettles provides three primary
conclusions:
1. Failure of imagination remains a factor within
homeland security institutions five years after it was identified as an issue
by the 9/11 commission.
2. Bureaucracies are not facilitators of creative
original thought thus the culture of the government works against out of the
box thinking, which is a necessary component to fighting terrorism.
3. Five years after the 9/11 Commission, the
United States still needs to redefine homeland security approaches into a
flexible, adaptive system.
Where do Red Teams fit into this? Colonel Nettles
provides the following recommendations:
1. Homeland security leaders need to be trained to
ask the following four questions of projects that are presented to them in a
structured manner through the framework offered by Red Teams:
a. What if…? This question is useful in
anticipating what the enemy may do.
b. What are the objectives of…? Answering this
question forces staff to consider other perspectives.
c. What are we missing…? Answering this question
helps identify gaps and vulnerabilities within agency operations, plans, and
conceptual designs; in addition to identifying disconnects between agencies
that need to be filled to avoid exploitation.
d. What is working and what isn’t? This is a
pre-requisite to creating a learning organization.
2. Implement decision support Red Teams as part of
organizational structure utilized by DHS agency heads and divisions within the organizations
in order to develop an independent capability for alternatively analyzing
issues.
3. Implement joint enterprise Red Teams between
its own agencies and facilitate joint enterprise Red Teams between DHS and
other security agencies, entities, and partners.
4. Implement Red Team integration into technology
approval processes. The RAND corporation determined that terrorists respond to
defensive technologies by altering operational practices, making technological
substitutes, avoiding the defensive technology, or attacking the defensive
technology. Red Teaming is a means of penetration testing.
Critique:
The stated goal of the research was to determine
if more effective, broader utilization of decision support red teams and
concepts from red teaming can positively affect decision making within DHS to
foster a learning organization. The case study highlights where red teaming
could theoretically be useful in the development of concepts, plans, and
strategic initiatives in pursuit of homeland security. The recommendations from
the study rely on evidence from challenges posed to decision making with DHS
and symptoms of defective decision making.
Before considering if decision support red teams
should be proliferated throughout security organizations as recommended in the
article, more evidence indicating that the output of red teaming increases the
effectiveness of organizations in the domain under study is needed.
Source:
Ricardo, with a lack of evidence into the effectiveness of Red Teaming, would you propose a different methodology towards answering Nettles conclusion that the government needs to be more open towards out of the box thinking?
ReplyDeleteHarrison,
ReplyDeleteTechniques outside the alternative/challenge analysis umbrella that facilitate out of the box thinking include structured role playing and multi-criteria intelligence matrices. We also have nominal group technique.